Tennessee Tech

Conference:	OVC
Expected RPI:	158.0
Current RPI:	158
Expected SOS:	213
Current SOS:	213
Current Record:	17-14
Expected Record:	17-14
Current Conf Record:	11-9
Expected Conf Record:	11-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	6-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	11-2
Current OOC Record:	6-5
Expected OOC Record:	6-5
Expected OOC RPI:	146
Expected OOC SOS:	245

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-14	158.0	100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tennessee Tech.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Location	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-13	TCU (26.0)	B12	A	100-63	L	0%
11-18	Kennesaw St. (301.0)	ASun	H	82-68	W	100%
11-21	New Mexico (118.0)	MWC	A	96-104	W	100%
11-24	Nebraska Omaha (284.0)	Sum	N	85-86	W	100%
11-25	Maryland Eastern Shore (346.0)	MEAC	N	60-90	W	100%
11-29	Lipscomb (101.0)	ASun	H	86-80	W	100%
12-2	Furman (97.0)	SC	A	64-50	L	0%
12-6	Dayton (146.0)	A10	A	79-66	L	0%
12-9	Central Michigan (167.0)	MAC	A	74-69	L	0%
12-17	Chattanooga (304.0)	SC	H	82-76	W	100%
12-21	Indiana (125.0)	B10	A	87-59	L	0%
12-28	Morehead St. (292.0)	OVC	H	69-67	W	100%
12-30	Eastern Kentucky (271.0)	OVC	H	77-69	W	100%
1-4	Belmont (81.0)	OVC	A	80-67	L	0%
1-6	Tennessee St. (189.0)	OVC	A	81-87	W	100%
1-11	Austin Peay (164.0)	OVC	H	86-74	W	100%
1-13	Murray St. (48.0)	OVC	H	45-71	L	0%
1-18	Eastern Kentucky (271.0)	OVC	A	67-70	W	100%
1-20	Morehead St. (292.0)	OVC	A	74-55	L	0%
1-25	Southeast Missouri St. (257.0)	OVC	H	76-65	W	100%
1-27	Tennessee Martin (306.0)	OVC	H	63-55	W	100%
2-1	SIU Edwardsville (287.0)	OVC	A	67-68	W	100%
2-3	Eastern Illinois (262.0)	OVC	A	79-71	L	0%
2-8	Jacksonville St. (149.0)	OVC	A	82-65	L	0%
2-10	Belmont (81.0)	OVC	H	70-75	L	0%
2-15	Austin Peay (164.0)	OVC	A	80-86	W	100%
2-17	Murray St. (48.0)	OVC	A	75-65	L	0%
2-22	Tennessee St. (189.0)	OVC	H	69-64	W	100%
2-24	Jacksonville St. (149.0)	OVC	H	57-66	L	0%
2-28	SIU Edwardsville (287.0)	OVC	N	60-51	W	100%
3-1	Jacksonville St. (149.0)	OVC	N	73-70	L	0%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Tennessee Tech's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Tennessee Tech's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Tennessee Tech.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
Tennessee Tech	OVC	26.37	26.37	57.89	57.89	4.16	4.16
Jacksonville St.	OVC	5.75	5.75	58.62	58.62	0.99	0.99
Belmont	OVC	4.24	4.24	70.97	70.97	1.78	1.78
Tennessee St.	OVC	4.12	4.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	4.11	4.11	81.48	81.48	2.58	2.58
Austin Peay	OVC	4.06	4.06	57.14	57.14	0.58	0.58
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	4.04	4.04	32.14	32.14	-1.44	-1.44
Morehead St.	OVC	4.03	4.03	20.00	20.00	-2.42	-2.42
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.01	4.01	33.33	33.33	-1.34	-1.34
Eastern Illinois	OVC	2.57	2.57	32.14	32.14	-0.92	-0.92
Tennessee Martin	OVC	2.49	2.49	28.57	28.57	-1.07	-1.07
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.46	2.46	42.86	42.86	-0.35	-0.35
Lipscomb	ASun	1.89	1.89	71.43	71.43	0.81	0.81
Chattanooga	SC	1.84	1.84	26.67	26.67	-0.86	-0.86
Kennesaw St.	ASun	1.73	1.73	29.63	29.63	-0.70	-0.70
TCU	B12	1.71	1.71	64.52	64.52	0.50	0.50
Central Michigan	MAC	1.67	1.67	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
New Mexico	MWC	1.67	1.67	56.25	56.25	0.21	0.21
Furman	SC	1.66	1.66	66.67	66.67	0.55	0.55
Nebraska Omaha	Sum	1.66	1.66	25.00	25.00	-0.83	-0.83
Dayton	A10	1.61	1.61	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
Indiana	B10	1.61	1.61	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	1.61	1.61	17.24	17.24	-1.06	-1.06
Samford	SC	0.23	0.23	26.67	26.67	-0.11	-0.11
Jacksonville	ASun	0.23	0.23	37.93	37.93	-0.05	-0.05
Stetson	ASun	0.19	0.19	28.57	28.57	-0.08	-0.08
USC Upstate	ASun	0.19	0.19	10.71	10.71	-0.15	-0.15
Marshall	CUSA	0.17	0.17	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Purdue	B10	0.17	0.17	82.35	82.35	0.11	0.11
Western Illinois	Sum	0.16	0.16	33.33	33.33	-0.05	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	CUSA	0.16	0.16	76.67	76.67	0.09	0.09
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.16	0.16	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
Western Kentucky	CUSA	0.16	0.16	69.70	69.70	0.06	0.06
East Tennessee St.	SC	0.16	0.16	71.88	71.88	0.07	0.07
Howard	MEAC	0.16	0.16	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
IUPUI	Horz	0.14	0.14	32.14	32.14	-0.05	-0.05
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.14	0.14	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
North Carolina Central	MEAC	0.14	0.14	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.14	0.14	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.14	79.41	79.41	0.08	0.08
Texas	B12	0.14	0.14	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Saint Louis	A10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fort Wayne	Sum	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.13	0.13	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	SC	0.13	0.13	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P12	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.13	0.13	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.13	37.50	37.50	-0.03	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Kentucky	Horz	0.12	0.12	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Butler	BE	0.11	0.11	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
NJIT	ASun	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.11	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.11	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.11	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	Sum	0.11	0.11	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.11	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington	P12	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
UNC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.06	0.06
VMI	SC	0.10	0.10	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.10	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Savannah St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.10	37.50	37.50	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.08	0.08	24.24	24.24	-0.04	-0.04
UMKC	WAC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.08	0.08	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.08	0.08	78.12	78.12	0.05	0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Creighton	BE	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.08	0.08	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.08	0.08	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Ball St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
UNC Asheville	BSth	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.08	0.08	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
VCU	A10	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Seattle	WAC	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Maryland	B10	0.08	0.08	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Green Bay	Horz	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Utah St.	MWC	0.07	0.07	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Xavier	BE	0.06	0.06	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Abilene Christian	Slnd	0.06	0.06	44.44	44.44	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	Sum	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.06	0.06	20.00	20.00	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.06	37.50	37.50	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisville	ACC	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	MVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	93.94	93.94	0.05	0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Old Dominion	CUSA	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	SB	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Rutgers	B10	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	B12	0.05	0.05	70.59	70.59	0.02	0.02
Nevada	MWC	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Boise St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Fresno St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	Slnd	0.05	0.05	10.71	10.71	-0.04	-0.04
Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.03	0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	16.13	16.13	-0.03	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
San Jose St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	10.34	10.34	-0.04	-0.04
UNLV	MWC	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SB	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	14.29	14.29	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	CUSA	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
LSU	SEC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	20.00	20.00	-0.02	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	WAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	15.62	15.62	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	6.67	6.67	-0.02	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	CUSA	0.03	0.03	17.86	17.86	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	A10	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Elon	CAA	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	A10	0.03	0.03	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.62	40.62	-0.00	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Notre Dame	ACC	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Penn	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Saint Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
South Florida	Amer	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	58.06	58.06	0.00	0.00
UNC Wilmington	CAA	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	57.14	57.14	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	20.00	20.00	-0.02	-0.02
SMU	Amer	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	44.12	44.12	-0.00	-0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P12	0.02	0.02	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
Colorado	P12	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
UTEP	CUSA	0.02	0.02	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01